Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.158940 11.871948 13.742452 15.930924 18.415240 21.141678 24.354026
2025-12-07 7.580815 9.985901 12.884171 16.605189 21.223874 26.734299 33.768435
2025-12-14 5.683421 8.263354 11.631249 16.284909 22.473222 30.335851 40.983592
2025-12-21 4.397037 6.968933 10.565950 15.854152 23.298499 33.252632 47.384063
2025-12-28 3.806143 6.486285 10.455692 16.594422 25.640563 38.235202 56.786288
2026-01-04 3.286381 5.992104 10.216648 17.057216 27.558844 42.711400 65.760848
2026-01-11 2.790343 5.432703 9.773015 17.113809 28.823201 46.285477 73.643669
2026-01-18 2.389102 4.952796 9.371109 17.154097 30.015380 49.782622 81.590321
2026-01-25 1.988449 4.394986 8.748766 16.735744 30.402144 52.034385 87.755096
2026-02-01 1.662339 3.913076 8.181952 16.324571 30.726206 54.162516 93.807994
2026-02-08 1.361954 3.421258 7.520057 15.651793 30.516891 55.378664 98.443202
2026-02-15 1.133911 3.034398 6.996942 15.157962 30.547347 56.951551 103.701772
2026-02-22 1.032648 2.926754 7.044371 15.811399 32.801757 62.609777 116.399957
2026-03-01 0.927210 2.791390 7.023899 16.349203 34.932430 68.278690 129.616094
2026-03-08 0.770568 2.490372 6.597388 16.008979 35.368417 71.002849 137.969925
2026-03-15 0.635388 2.208079 6.160489 15.580133 35.572336 73.299618 145.693596
2026-03-22 0.587565 2.157048 6.254862 16.308472 38.141303 80.095275 161.822872
2026-03-29 0.530520 2.063834 6.230297 16.764194 40.185803 86.033452 176.725635
2026-04-05 0.462279 1.916533 6.043383 16.819912 41.391284 90.442260 189.052092
2026-04-12 0.402947 1.780446 5.861028 16.859594 42.557468 94.837481 201.582702
2026-04-19 0.336173 1.596447 5.513444 16.447482 42.688210 97.184473 210.341642
2026-04-26 0.280258 1.431941 5.187869 16.042464 42.786583 99.455534 219.058178
2026-05-03 0.226532 1.254411 4.786181 15.379801 42.220147 100.311018 225.029476